People fall in lvoe with glamour offenses. While they are fun to watch, we all know that the latest trend is that a strong defense will win the big games.
Looking back at 2001, the pats faced a better offense in the BB (rams 01), in a dome, and Bellicheck was ready for it. Now his defense is better, they are at home, Facing a weak defense, in t eh cold, agaisnt an outdoor team, with a qb who has never won in Foxboro.
Add to this, the fact that the pats already beat the Colts on the road, when injured, and I cant see a good reason not to take them.
Manning is the glamour player in this game, but glamour does not win championships.